Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Vernell Brown III
Vernell Brown III

Player breakdown

Vernell Brown III

Florida · 2026 Draft Class

5-11170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

24%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2025FloridaSEC1040512012.851.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

55%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.823
Recruit dominator synergy+0.478
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.232

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.322
-0.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.545
0.00 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.355

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)