Player breakdown
Vernell Brown III
Florida · 2028 Draft Class
5-11170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
24%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida | SEC | 10 | 40 | 512 | 0 | 12.8 | 51.2 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
8%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.823
Recruit dominator synergy+0.478
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.232
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.322
-0.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.545
0.00 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.355