Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Xavier Legette
Xavier Legette

Player breakdown

Xavier Legette

South Carolina · 2024 Draft Class

6-1221 lbs1st round, 32nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

46%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024CAR1613844949710.1431.1
2025CAR1512643536310.4324.2
Career31251488486010.2727.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019South CarolinaSEC1198018.97.3
2020South CarolinaSEC67113016.118.8
2021South CarolinaSEC1186317.95.7
2022South CarolinaSEC131816739.312.8
2023South CarolinaSEC12711,255717.7104.6
Career531131,6781214.831.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

44%

ML model output

Context Prob

58%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.164
7.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.262
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.229

Top Negative Factors

-25.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.722
Physical production synergy-0.584
0.23 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.430

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)