Player breakdown
Xavier Worthy
Texas · 2024 Draft Class
5-11165 lbs1st round, 28th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~23
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
72%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | KAN | 17 | 13 | 98 | 59 | 638 | 10.8 | 6 | 37.5 |
| 2025 | KAN | 14 | 13 | 73 | 42 | 532 | 12.7 | 1 | 38 |
| Career | 31 | 26 | 171 | 101 | 1,170 | 11.6 | 7 | 37.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Texas | Big 12 | 12 | 62 | 981 | 12 | 15.8 | 81.8 |
| 2022 | Texas | Big 12 | 13 | 60 | 760 | 9 | 12.7 | 58.5 |
| 2023 | Texas | Big 12 | 14 | 75 | 1,014 | 5 | 13.5 | 72.4 |
| Career | 39 | 197 | 2,755 | 26 | 14.0 | 70.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
73%
ML model output
Context Prob
62%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.0) — getting better faster each year+0.509
Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.421
Physical production synergy+0.398
Top Negative Factors
Efficiency consistency: 1.13 — highly consistent across seasons-0.273
Recruit dominator synergy-0.248
Efficiency composite: 0.64 — average combined efficiency-0.236