Player breakdown
Zavion Thomas
LSU · 2026 Draft Class
5-10190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
14%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Mississippi State | SEC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | SEC | 11 | 40 | 503 | 1 | 12.6 | 45.7 |
| 2024 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 23 | 218 | 2 | 9.5 | 16.8 |
| 2025 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 41 | 488 | 4 | 11.9 | 37.5 |
| Career | 48 | 106 | 1,213 | 7 | 11.4 | 25.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
39%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.183
Recruit dominator synergy+0.473
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.89 — elite recruit at elite school+0.208
Top Negative Factors
-27.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.737
Physical production synergy-0.494
0.23 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.474