Player breakdown
Aaron Anderson
LSU · 2026 Draft Class
5-8191 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
37%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | LSU | SEC | 11 | 12 | 59 | 0 | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| 2024 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 61 | 884 | 5 | 14.5 | 68 |
| 2025 | LSU | SEC | 9 | 33 | 398 | 0 | 12.1 | 44.2 |
| Career | 33 | 106 | 1,341 | 5 | 12.7 | 40.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
84%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.137
5.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.291
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.98 — elite recruit at elite school+0.221
Top Negative Factors
+5.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.748
Improvement accelerating (+14.0) — getting better faster each year-0.549
0.15 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.486