Player breakdown
Ace Sanders
South Carolina · 2013 Draft Class
5-7173 lbs4th round, 101st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
36%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | JAX | 15 | 4 | 87 | 51 | 484 | 9.5 | 1 | 32.3 |
| 2014 | JAX | 12 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 9.2 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Career | 27 | 4 | 94 | 57 | 539 | 9.5 | 1 | 20.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | South Carolina | SEC | 14 | 25 | 316 | 2 | 12.6 | 22.6 |
| 2011 | South Carolina | SEC | 13 | 29 | 383 | 2 | 13.2 | 29.5 |
| 2012 | South Carolina | SEC | 13 | 45 | 531 | 9 | 11.8 | 40.8 |
| Career | 40 | 99 | 1,230 | 13 | 12.4 | 30.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
36%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.225
Recruit dominator synergy+0.359
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.86x — route-running independent of system+0.192
Top Negative Factors
-21.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.740
Accounted for 1.45 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.405
0.33 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.332