Player breakdown
Anthony Gonzalez
Ohio St. · 2007 Draft Class
6-0193 lbs1st round, 32nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
19%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | IND | 13 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 576 | 15.6 | 3 | 44.3 |
| 2008 | IND | 16 | 2 | 79 | 57 | 664 | 11.6 | 4 | 41.5 |
| 2010 | IND | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 67 | 13.4 | 0 | 33.5 |
| 2011 | IND | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 39 | 11 | 141 | 99 | 1,307 | 13.2 | 7 | 33.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8 | 8 | 179 | 2 | 22.4 | 22.4 |
| 2005 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 28 | 373 | 3 | 13.3 | 31.1 |
| 2006 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13 | 51 | 734 | 8 | 14.4 | 56.5 |
| 2011 | Pitt | Big East | 10 | 9 | 58 | 0 | 6.4 | 5.8 |
| Career | 43 | 96 | 1,344 | 13 | 14.0 | 31.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
56%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.156
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (193 lbs)+0.213
39.0 career ypg — limited college production+0.141
Top Negative Factors
-15.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.762
Physical production synergy-0.517
Improvement accelerating (+3.1) — getting better faster each year-0.349