Player breakdown
Early Doucet
LSU · 2008 Draft Class
6-0209 lbs3rd round, 81st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
35%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | ARI | 7 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 12.9 |
| 2009 | ARI | 9 | 0 | 24 | 17 | 214 | 12.6 | 1 | 23.8 |
| 2010 | ARI | 10 | 5 | 59 | 26 | 291 | 11.2 | 1 | 29.1 |
| 2011 | ARI | 16 | 6 | 97 | 54 | 689 | 12.8 | 5 | 43.1 |
| 2012 | ARI | 12 | 3 | 53 | 28 | 207 | 7.4 | 0 | 17.3 |
| Career | 54 | 14 | 250 | 139 | 1,491 | 10.7 | 7 | 27.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | LSU | SEC | 10 | 18 | 257 | 2 | 14.3 | 25.7 |
| 2005 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 26 | 389 | 5 | 15 | 32.4 |
| 2006 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 59 | 772 | 8 | 13.1 | 59.4 |
| 2007 | LSU | SEC | 10 | 57 | 525 | 5 | 9.2 | 52.5 |
| Career | 45 | 160 | 1,943 | 20 | 12.1 | 43.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
73%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.172
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.98x — route-running independent of system+0.194
Recruit rating × conference strength: 1.00 — elite recruit at elite school+0.192
Top Negative Factors
-12.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.722
Physical production synergy-0.550
Improvement accelerating (+2.0) — getting better faster each year-0.327