Player breakdown
Adonai Mitchell
Texas · 2024 Draft Class
6-2205 lbs2nd round, 52nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~23
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
73%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | IND | 17 | 7 | 55 | 23 | 312 | 13.6 | 0 | 18.4 |
| 2025 | 2TM | 16 | 5 | 74 | 33 | 453 | 13.7 | 2 | 28.3 |
| 2025 | IND | 8 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 152 | 16.9 | 0 | 19 |
| 2025 | NYJ | 8 | 4 | 58 | 24 | 301 | 12.5 | 2 | 37.6 |
| Career | 49 | 17 | 203 | 89 | 1,218 | 13.7 | 4 | 24.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Georgia | SEC | 15 | 29 | 426 | 4 | 14.7 | 28.4 |
| 2022 | Georgia | SEC | 6 | 9 | 134 | 3 | 14.9 | 22.3 |
| 2023 | Texas | Big 12 | 14 | 55 | 845 | 11 | 15.4 | 60.4 |
| Career | 35 | 93 | 1,405 | 18 | 15.1 | 40.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
21%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.320
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.230
BMI 26.3 — ideal frame for NFL WR (205 lbs)+0.229
Top Negative Factors
+4.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.738
Accounted for 1.78 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.416
Efficiency composite: 0.44 — average combined efficiency-0.238