Player breakdown
Adrian Madise
TCU · 2003 Draft Class
5-11215 lbs5th round, 158th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~46
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
6%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | DEN | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Texas Christian | CUSA | 11 | 50 | 819 | 5 | 16.4 | 74.5 |
| 2002 | Texas Christian | CUSA | 11 | 32 | 524 | 2 | 16.4 | 47.6 |
| Career | 22 | 82 | 1,343 | 7 | 16.4 | 61.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
32%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.708
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.197
BMI 30.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (215 lbs)+0.166
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.370
+5.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.580
Physical production synergy-0.372