Player breakdown
A.J. Green
Georgia · 2011 Draft Class
6-4211 lbs1st round, 4th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
93%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | CIN | 15 | 15 | 115 | 65 | 1,057 | 16.3 | 7 | 70.5 |
| 2012 | CIN | 16 | 16 | 164 | 97 | 1,350 | 13.9 | 11 | 84.4 |
| 2013 | CIN | 16 | 16 | 178 | 98 | 1,426 | 14.6 | 11 | 89.1 |
| 2014 | CIN | 13 | 13 | 117 | 69 | 1,041 | 15.1 | 6 | 80.1 |
| 2015 | CIN | 16 | 16 | 132 | 86 | 1,297 | 15.1 | 10 | 81.1 |
| 2016 | CIN | 10 | 10 | 100 | 66 | 964 | 14.6 | 4 | 96.4 |
| 2017 | CIN | 16 | 16 | 143 | 75 | 1,078 | 14.4 | 8 | 67.4 |
| 2018 | CIN | 9 | 9 | 77 | 46 | 694 | 15.1 | 6 | 77.1 |
| 2020 | CIN | 16 | 14 | 104 | 47 | 523 | 11.1 | 2 | 32.7 |
| 2021 | ARI | 16 | 9 | 92 | 54 | 848 | 15.7 | 3 | 53 |
| 2022 | ARI | 15 | 10 | 47 | 24 | 236 | 9.8 | 2 | 15.7 |
| Career | 158 | 144 | 1269 | 727 | 10,514 | 14.5 | 70 | 66.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Georgia | SEC | 13 | 56 | 963 | 8 | 17.2 | 74.1 |
| 2009 | Georgia | SEC | 10 | 53 | 808 | 6 | 15.2 | 80.8 |
| 2010 | Georgia | SEC | 9 | 57 | 848 | 9 | 14.9 | 94.2 |
| Career | 32 | 166 | 2,619 | 23 | 15.8 | 81.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
97%
ML model output
Context Prob
52%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.237
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.616
Recruit dominator synergy+0.551
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.181
Efficiency composite: 0.00 — average combined efficiency-0.170
Height-adjusted speed: 4.24s — elite speed for frame-0.148