Player breakdown
Darrius Heyward-Bey
Maryland · 2009 Draft Class
6-2210 lbs1st round, 7th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
36%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | OAK | 11 | 11 | 40 | 9 | 124 | 13.8 | 1 | 11.3 |
| 2010 | OAK | 15 | 14 | 65 | 26 | 366 | 14.1 | 1 | 24.4 |
| 2011 | OAK | 15 | 14 | 115 | 64 | 975 | 15.2 | 4 | 65 |
| 2012 | OAK | 15 | 14 | 80 | 41 | 606 | 14.8 | 5 | 40.4 |
| 2013 | IND | 16 | 11 | 64 | 29 | 309 | 10.7 | 1 | 19.3 |
| 2014 | PIT | 16 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 2.1 |
| 2015 | PIT | 16 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 314 | 15 | 2 | 19.6 |
| 2016 | PIT | 10 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 114 | 19 | 2 | 11.4 |
| 2017 | PIT | 16 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 2018 | PIT | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Career | 144 | 71 | 432 | 202 | 2,897 | 14.3 | 16 | 20.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Maryland | ACC | 13 | 45 | 694 | 5 | 15.4 | 53.4 |
| 2007 | Maryland | ACC | 13 | 51 | 786 | 3 | 15.4 | 60.5 |
| 2008 | Maryland | ACC | 12 | 42 | 609 | 5 | 14.5 | 50.8 |
| Career | 38 | 138 | 2,089 | 13 | 15.1 | 55.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
35%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.296
33.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.308
Physical production synergy+0.301
Top Negative Factors
-1.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.737
0.34 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.379
0.09 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.211