Player breakdown
AJ Wilson
UTSA · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UTSA | American | 13 | 31 | 528 | 4 | 17 | 40.6 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
41%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.881
Recruit dominator synergy+0.476
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.273
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.753
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.451
0.31 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.348