Player breakdown
Alex Perry
Florida International · 2026 Draft Class
6-5210 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
27%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Hawaii | MWC | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 9.5 | 19 |
| 2023 | Hawaii | MWC | 13 | 24 | 277 | 3 | 11.5 | 21.3 |
| 2024 | Hawaii | MWC | 12 | 22 | 195 | 0 | 8.9 | 16.3 |
| 2025 | Florida International | CUSA | 13 | 56 | 840 | 9 | 15 | 64.6 |
| Career | 39 | 104 | 1,331 | 12 | 12.8 | 34.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
4%
ML model output
Context Prob
62%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.204
0.69 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.204
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.187
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.740
Improvement accelerating (+43.2) — getting better faster each year-0.598
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.586