Player breakdown
Allen Robinson
Penn St. · 2014 Draft Class
6-3220 lbs2nd round, 61st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | JAX | 10 | 8 | 81 | 48 | 548 | 11.4 | 2 | 54.8 |
| 2015 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 151 | 80 | 1,400 | 17.5 | 14 | 87.5 |
| 2016 | JAX | 16 | 16 | 151 | 73 | 883 | 12.1 | 6 | 55.2 |
| 2017 | JAX | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 2018 | CHI | 13 | 12 | 94 | 55 | 754 | 13.7 | 4 | 58 |
| 2019 | CHI | 16 | 15 | 154 | 98 | 1,147 | 11.7 | 7 | 71.7 |
| 2020 | CHI | 16 | 16 | 151 | 102 | 1,250 | 12.3 | 6 | 78.1 |
| 2021 | CHI | 12 | 11 | 66 | 38 | 410 | 10.8 | 1 | 34.2 |
| 2022 | LAR | 10 | 10 | 52 | 33 | 339 | 10.3 | 3 | 33.9 |
| 2023 | PIT | 17 | 17 | 49 | 34 | 280 | 8.2 | 0 | 16.5 |
| 2024 | DET | 12 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Career | 139 | 122 | 957 | 565 | 7,058 | 12.5 | 43 | 50.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 9.7 | 2.6 |
| 2012 | Penn State | Big Ten | 12 | 77 | 1,018 | 11 | 13.2 | 84.8 |
| 2013 | Penn State | Big Ten | 12 | 97 | 1,432 | 6 | 14.8 | 119.3 |
| Career | 35 | 177 | 2,479 | 17 | 14.0 | 70.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
98%
ML model output
Context Prob
63%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.291
Physical production synergy+0.345
2.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.290
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+48.4) — getting better faster each year-0.296
+13.9 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.270
Recruit dominator synergy-0.211