Player breakdown
DeAndre Hopkins
Clemson · 2013 Draft Class
6-1214 lbs1st round, 27th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~34
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
90%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | HOU | 16 | 16 | 91 | 52 | 802 | 15.4 | 2 | 50.1 |
| 2014 | HOU | 16 | 16 | 127 | 76 | 1,210 | 15.9 | 6 | 75.6 |
| 2015 | HOU | 16 | 16 | 192 | 111 | 1,521 | 13.7 | 11 | 95.1 |
| 2016 | HOU | 16 | 16 | 151 | 78 | 954 | 12.2 | 4 | 59.6 |
| 2017 | HOU | 15 | 15 | 174 | 96 | 1,378 | 14.4 | 13 | 91.9 |
| 2018 | HOU | 16 | 16 | 163 | 115 | 1,572 | 13.7 | 11 | 98.3 |
| 2019 | HOU | 15 | 15 | 150 | 104 | 1,165 | 11.2 | 7 | 77.7 |
| 2020 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 160 | 115 | 1,407 | 12.2 | 6 | 87.9 |
| 2021 | ARI | 10 | 10 | 64 | 42 | 572 | 13.6 | 8 | 57.2 |
| 2022 | ARI | 9 | 9 | 96 | 64 | 717 | 11.2 | 3 | 79.7 |
| 2023 | TEN | 17 | 16 | 137 | 75 | 1,057 | 14.1 | 7 | 62.2 |
| 2024 | 2TM | 16 | 8 | 80 | 56 | 610 | 10.9 | 5 | 38.1 |
| 2024 | TEN | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 173 | 11.5 | 1 | 28.8 |
| 2024 | KAN | 10 | 5 | 59 | 41 | 437 | 10.7 | 4 | 43.7 |
| 2025 | BAL | 17 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 330 | 15 | 2 | 19.4 |
| Career | 211 | 180 | 1704 | 1062 | 13,905 | 13.1 | 90 | 65.9 | |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
91%
ML model output
Context Prob
67%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.273
Physical production synergy+0.550
BMI 28.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (214 lbs)+0.263
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.236
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.187
62.5 yards per adjusted target opportunity — dominant efficiency vs. opportunities-0.166