Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Amara Darboh
Amara Darboh

Player breakdown

Amara Darboh

Michigan · 2017 Draft Class

6-2214 lbs3rd round, 106th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

40%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2017SEA160138718.904.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2014MichiganBig Ten1236473213.139.4
2015MichiganBig Ten1358727512.555.9
2016MichiganBig Ten1357862715.166.3
Career381512,0621413.754.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

85%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.289
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.92 — elite recruit at elite school+0.222
BMI 27.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (214 lbs)+0.208

Top Negative Factors

-1.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.730
0.37 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.305
Efficiency composite: 0.48 — average combined efficiency-0.240

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)