Player breakdown
Greg Little
North Carolina · 2011 Draft Class
6-2231 lbs2nd round, 59th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | CLE | 16 | 12 | 119 | 61 | 709 | 11.6 | 2 | 44.3 |
| 2012 | CLE | 16 | 16 | 94 | 53 | 647 | 12.2 | 4 | 40.4 |
| 2013 | CLE | 16 | 13 | 99 | 41 | 465 | 11.3 | 2 | 29.1 |
| 2014 | CIN | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 69 | 11.5 | 0 | 11.5 |
| Career | 54 | 42 | 324 | 161 | 1,890 | 11.7 | 8 | 35.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | North Carolina | ACC | 11 | 13 | 99 | 1 | 7.6 | 9 |
| 2008 | North Carolina | ACC | 13 | 11 | 146 | 0 | 13.3 | 11.2 |
| 2009 | North Carolina | ACC | 13 | 62 | 724 | 5 | 11.7 | 55.7 |
| Career | 37 | 86 | 969 | 6 | 11.3 | 26.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
53%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.212
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.87 — elite recruit at elite school+0.193
BMI 29.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (231 lbs)+0.172
Top Negative Factors
-30.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.753
0.16 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.470
Improvement accelerating (+6.3) — getting better faster each year-0.349