Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Amari Cooper
Amari Cooper

Player breakdown

Amari Cooper

Alabama · 2015 Draft Class

6-1211 lbs1st round, 4th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~32
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 1023NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

95%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2015OAK1615130721,07014.9666.9
2016OAK1614132831,15313.9572.1
2017OAK1412964868014.2748.6
20182TM1515107751,00513.4767
2018OAK66312228012.7146.7
2018DAL99765372513.7680.6
2019DAL1616119791,18915.1874.3
2020DAL1615130921,11412.1569.6
2021DAL15141046886512.7857.7
2022CLE1717132781,16014.9968.2
2023CLE1515128721,25017.4583.3
20242TM1410854454712.4439.1
2024CLE66532425010.4241.7
2024BUF84322029714.9237.1
Career183168135583011,58514.07563.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012AlabamaSEC14591,0001116.971.4
2013AlabamaSEC1145736416.466.9
2014AlabamaSEC141241,7271613.9123.4
Career392283,4633115.288.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

96%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 33% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.123
Physical production synergy+0.530
+32.8 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.285

Top Negative Factors

Scout dominator depth synergy-0.363
Efficiency consistency: 1.12 — highly consistent across seasons-0.251
Recruit dominator synergy-0.231

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)