Player breakdown
Marqise Lee
USC · 2014 Draft Class
6-0192 lbs2nd round, 39th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 207NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | JAX | 13 | 8 | 69 | 37 | 422 | 11.4 | 1 | 32.5 |
| 2015 | JAX | 10 | 1 | 32 | 15 | 191 | 12.7 | 1 | 19.1 |
| 2016 | JAX | 16 | 6 | 105 | 63 | 851 | 13.5 | 3 | 53.2 |
| 2017 | JAX | 14 | 14 | 96 | 56 | 702 | 12.5 | 3 | 50.1 |
| 2019 | JAX | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Career | 59 | 30 | 306 | 174 | 2,184 | 12.6 | 8 | 37.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | USC | Pac-12 | 12 | 73 | 1,143 | 11 | 15.7 | 95.3 |
| 2012 | USC | Pac-12 | 13 | 118 | 1,721 | 14 | 14.6 | 132.4 |
| 2013 | USC | Pac-12 | 11 | 57 | 791 | 4 | 13.9 | 71.9 |
| Career | 36 | 248 | 3,655 | 29 | 14.7 | 101.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
87%
ML model output
Context Prob
75%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.185
+47.1 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.267
BMI 26.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (192 lbs)+0.259
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.263
51.8 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.196
Team averaged 35.5 pass attempts/game — balanced offensive system-0.153