Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Golden Tate
Golden Tate

Player breakdown

Golden Tate

Notre Dame · 2010 Draft Class

5-10199 lbs2nd round, 60th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 21NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

90%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010SEA110392122710.8020.6
2011SEA165583538210.9323.9
2012SEA1515684568815.3745.9
2013SEA1613996489814556.1
2014DET1616144991,33113.4483.2
2015DET1616128908139650.8
2016DET1616135911,07711.8467.3
2017DET1612120921,00310.9562.7
20182TM1571137479510.7453
2018DET74694451711.8373.9
2018PHI8344302789.3134.8
2019NYG1110854967613.8661.5
2020NYG124523538811.1232.3
Career17512111547699,07311.85051.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007Notre DameInd126131121.810.9
2008Notre DameInd13581,0801018.683.1
2009Notre DameInd12931,4961516.1124.7
Career371572,7072617.273.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

79%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.105
Physical production synergy+0.272
BMI 28.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (199 lbs)+0.265

Top Negative Factors

Scout dominator depth synergy-0.435
Improvement accelerating (+10.4) — getting better faster each year-0.404
Efficiency consistency: 1.27 — highly consistent across seasons-0.291

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)