Player breakdown
Andre Caldwell
Florida · 2008 Draft Class
6-0204 lbs3rd round, 97th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
32%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | CIN | 7 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 78 | 7.1 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 2009 | CIN | 16 | 3 | 80 | 51 | 432 | 8.5 | 3 | 27 |
| 2010 | CIN | 15 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 345 | 13.8 | 0 | 23 |
| 2011 | CIN | 13 | 2 | 68 | 37 | 317 | 8.6 | 3 | 24.4 |
| 2012 | DEN | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 2.3 |
| 2013 | DEN | 16 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 200 | 12.5 | 3 | 12.5 |
| 2014 | DEN | 16 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 47 | 9.4 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 2015 | DEN | 14 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 72 | 7.2 | 2 | 5.1 |
| Career | 105 | 18 | 274 | 156 | 1,509 | 9.7 | 11 | 14.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Florida | SEC | 13 | 19 | 174 | 0 | 9.2 | 13.4 |
| 2004 | Florida | SEC | 12 | 43 | 689 | 3 | 16 | 57.4 |
| 2005 | Florida | SEC | 3 | 10 | 148 | 0 | 14.8 | 49.3 |
| 2006 | Florida | SEC | 14 | 57 | 577 | 6 | 10.1 | 41.2 |
| 2007 | Florida | SEC | 11 | 56 | 761 | 7 | 13.6 | 69.2 |
| Career | 53 | 185 | 2,349 | 16 | 12.7 | 44.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
79%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit rating × conference strength: 1.00 — elite recruit at elite school+0.199
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.98x — route-running independent of system+0.172
BMI 27.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (204 lbs)+0.155
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.457
-11.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.584
Physical production synergy-0.343