Player breakdown
Dwayne Bowe
LSU · 2007 Draft Class
6-2221 lbs1st round, 23rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
83%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | KAN | 16 | 15 | 116 | 70 | 995 | 14.2 | 5 | 62.2 |
| 2008 | KAN | 16 | 16 | 157 | 86 | 1,022 | 11.9 | 7 | 63.9 |
| 2009 | KAN | 11 | 9 | 87 | 47 | 589 | 12.5 | 4 | 53.5 |
| 2010 | KAN | 16 | 16 | 133 | 72 | 1,162 | 16.1 | 15 | 72.6 |
| 2011 | KAN | 16 | 14 | 142 | 81 | 1,159 | 14.3 | 5 | 72.4 |
| 2012 | KAN | 13 | 12 | 114 | 59 | 801 | 13.6 | 3 | 61.6 |
| 2013 | KAN | 15 | 15 | 103 | 57 | 673 | 11.8 | 5 | 44.9 |
| 2014 | KAN | 15 | 15 | 95 | 60 | 754 | 12.6 | 0 | 50.3 |
| 2015 | CLE | 7 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 53 | 10.6 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Career | 125 | 112 | 960 | 537 | 7,208 | 13.4 | 44 | 57.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | LSU | SEC | 10 | 9 | 106 | 0 | 11.8 | 10.6 |
| 2004 | LSU | SEC | 11 | 39 | 597 | 5 | 15.3 | 54.3 |
| 2005 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 41 | 710 | 9 | 17.3 | 59.2 |
| 2006 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 65 | 990 | 12 | 15.2 | 76.2 |
| Career | 46 | 154 | 2,403 | 26 | 15.6 | 52.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
89%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.380
Physical production synergy+0.362
0.57 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.257
Top Negative Factors
-4.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Improvement accelerating (+8.3) — getting better faster each year-0.343
Efficiency composite: 0.67 — average combined efficiency-0.199