Player breakdown
Andrew Marsh
Michigan · 2028 Draft Class
6-1175 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $1.1M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13 | 45 | 651 | 4 | 14.5 | 50.1 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
37%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.106
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.799
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.246
Top Negative Factors
-2.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.726
Physical production synergy-0.436
0.31 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.384