Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Andy Isabella
Andy Isabella

Player breakdown

Andy Isabella

Massachusetts · 2019 Draft Class

5-9188 lbs2nd round, 62nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

76%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2019ARI15113918921112.6
2020ARI132352122410.7217.2
2021ARI8011131301.6
20222TM50522110.504.2
2022ARI30522110.507
2022BAL20000000
Career463593546813.4310.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2015MassachusettsMAC92703.50.8
2016MassachusettsInd1262801712.966.8
2017MassachusettsInd12651,0201015.785
2018MassachusettsInd121021,6981316.6141.5
Career452313,5263015.378.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

72%

ML model output

Context Prob

85%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical production synergy+0.464
0.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.269
Accounted for 4.13 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.241

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.615
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.396
Improvement accelerating (+241.6) — getting better faster each year-0.365

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)