Player breakdown
Anthony Evans III
Mississippi State · 2026 Draft Class
5-10160 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Georgia | SEC | 8 | 4 | 35 | 1 | 8.8 | 4.4 |
| 2024 | Georgia | SEC | 11 | 9 | 88 | 0 | 9.8 | 8 |
| 2025 | Mississippi State | SEC | 13 | 67 | 831 | 4 | 12.4 | 63.9 |
| Career | 32 | 80 | 954 | 5 | 11.9 | 29.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.92 — elite recruit at elite school+0.200
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.96x — route-running independent of system+0.166
BMI 22.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (160 lbs)+0.162
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.597
Improvement accelerating (+22.7) — getting better faster each year-0.572
Physical production synergy-0.488