Player breakdown
Arrelious Benn
Illinois · 2010 Draft Class
6-1219 lbs2nd round, 39th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~37
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
36%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | TAM | 15 | 9 | 38 | 25 | 395 | 15.8 | 2 | 26.3 |
| 2011 | TAM | 14 | 14 | 51 | 30 | 441 | 14.7 | 3 | 31.5 |
| 2012 | TAM | 8 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 2016 | JAX | 15 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 116 | 23.2 | 1 | 7.7 |
| 2017 | JAX | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Career | 61 | 24 | 107 | 65 | 990 | 15.2 | 6 | 16.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Illinois | Big Ten | 13 | 54 | 676 | 2 | 12.5 | 52 |
| 2008 | Illinois | Big Ten | 12 | 67 | 1,055 | 3 | 15.7 | 87.9 |
| 2009 | Illinois | Big Ten | 12 | 38 | 490 | 2 | 12.9 | 40.8 |
| Career | 37 | 159 | 2,221 | 7 | 14.0 | 60.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
34%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.273
Physical production synergy+0.426
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.99 — elite recruit at elite school+0.231
Top Negative Factors
+3.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.685
0.19 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.463
51.6 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.197