Predicting the Pros
Predictions/DeSean Jackson
DeSean Jackson

Player breakdown

DeSean Jackson

California · 2008 Draft Class

5-10169 lbs2nd round, 49th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~39
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

85%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008PHI16151206291214.7257
2009PHI1515117621,15618.6977.1
2010PHI141495471,05622.5675.4
2011PHI15151045896116.6464.1
2012PHI1111874570015.6263.6
2013PHI1616126821,33216.2983.3
2014WAS151395561,16920.9677.9
2015WAS99493052817.6458.7
2016WAS1515100561,00517.9467
2017TAM1413905066813.4347.7
2018TAM1210744177418.9464.5
2019PHI3310915917.7253
2020PHI55261423616.9147.2
20212TM164342045422.7228.4
2021LAR7015822127.6131.6
2021LVR94191223319.4125.9
2022BAL7117915317021.9
Career199163117866111,71717.76058.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

91%

ML model output

Context Prob

50%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.266
Physical production synergy+0.429
32.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.310

Top Negative Factors

Recruit dominator synergy-0.227
55.8 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.166
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.34x — route-running independent of system-0.159

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)