Player breakdown
Ashton Bethel-Roman
Texas A&M · 2026 Draft Class
6-0185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
50%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Texas A&M | SEC | 4 | 4 | 44 | 1 | 11 | 11 |
| 2025 | Texas A&M | SEC | 13 | 24 | 503 | 5 | 21 | 38.7 |
| Career | 17 | 28 | 547 | 6 | 19.5 | 32.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
48%
ML model output
Context Prob
63%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.153
Recruit dominator synergy+0.443
Class YPR rank: top 3% — elite per-target efficiency+0.235
Top Negative Factors
-20.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.724
Improvement accelerating (+10.4) — getting better faster each year-0.560
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.384