Player breakdown
Terry McLaurin
Ohio St. · 2019 Draft Class
6-0208 lbs3rd round, 76th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
High1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
74%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | WAS | 14 | 14 | 93 | 58 | 919 | 15.8 | 7 | 65.6 |
| 2020 | WAS | 15 | 15 | 134 | 87 | 1,118 | 12.9 | 4 | 74.5 |
| 2021 | WAS | 17 | 17 | 130 | 77 | 1,053 | 13.7 | 5 | 61.9 |
| 2022 | WAS | 17 | 17 | 120 | 77 | 1,191 | 15.5 | 5 | 70.1 |
| 2023 | WAS | 17 | 17 | 132 | 79 | 1,002 | 12.7 | 4 | 58.9 |
| 2024 | WAS | 17 | 17 | 117 | 82 | 1,096 | 13.4 | 13 | 64.5 |
| 2025 | WAS | 10 | 10 | 60 | 38 | 582 | 15.3 | 3 | 58.2 |
| Career | 107 | 107 | 786 | 498 | 6,961 | 14.0 | 41 | 65.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13 | 11 | 114 | 2 | 10.4 | 8.8 |
| 2017 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 14 | 29 | 436 | 6 | 15 | 31.1 |
| 2018 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 14 | 35 | 701 | 11 | 20 | 50.1 |
| Career | 41 | 75 | 1,251 | 19 | 16.7 | 30.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
80%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.299
Recruit dominator synergy+0.526
8.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.280
Top Negative Factors
-25.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.735
Physical production synergy-0.442
Accounted for 1.25 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.405