Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ashton Bethel-Roman
Ashton Bethel-Roman

Player breakdown

Ashton Bethel-Roman

Texas A&M · 2027 Draft Class

6-0185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Texas A&MSEC444411111
2025Texas A&MSEC132450352138.7
Career1728547619.532.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

24%

ML model output

Context Prob

63%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.365
Class YPR rank: top 4% — elite per-target efficiency+0.230
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.92 — elite recruit at elite school+0.204

Top Negative Factors

+4.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.748
Improvement accelerating (+10.4) — getting better faster each year-0.564
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.366

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)