Player breakdown
A.T. Perry
Wake Forest · 2023 Draft Class
6-4198 lbs6th round, 195th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
37%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | NOR | 10 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 246 | 20.5 | 4 | 24.6 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Wake Forest | ACC | 9 | 4 | 62 | 1 | 15.5 | 6.9 |
| 2020 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7 | 15 | 211 | 1 | 14.1 | 30.1 |
| 2021 | Wake Forest | ACC | 14 | 71 | 1,293 | 15 | 18.2 | 92.4 |
| 2022 | Wake Forest | ACC | 13 | 81 | 1,096 | 11 | 13.5 | 84.3 |
| Career | 43 | 171 | 2,662 | 28 | 15.6 | 61.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.241
BMI 24.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (198 lbs)+0.233
6.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.214
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.261
+7.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.702
Physical production synergy-0.546