Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Austin Proehl
Austin Proehl

Player breakdown

Austin Proehl

North Carolina · 2018 Draft Class

7th round, 255th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2014North CarolinaACC121510607.18.8
2015North CarolinaACC1212225118.818.8
2016North CarolinaACC1343597313.945.9
2017North CarolinaACC62133711656.2
Career43911,265513.929.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

34%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.467
67.4 conference-adjusted ypg — SEC/Big Ten players penalized less than spread teams+0.173
8.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.138

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.779
0.12 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.484
Improvement accelerating (+4.6) — getting better faster each year-0.477

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)