Player breakdown
Ayden Greene
Virginia Tech · 2026 Draft Class
6-2190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 12 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 11.2 | 4.7 |
| 2024 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 13 | 19 | 268 | 2 | 14.1 | 20.6 |
| 2025 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11 | 31 | 516 | 3 | 16.6 | 46.9 |
| Career | 36 | 55 | 840 | 5 | 15.3 | 23.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.291
4.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.257
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.203
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.306
Improvement accelerating (+8.2) — getting better faster each year-0.563
-31.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.550