Player breakdown
Beau Sparks
Texas State · 2026 Draft Class
5-11175 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
14%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 13 | 25 | 271 | 2 | 10.8 | 20.8 |
| 2025 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 13 | 84 | 1,200 | 10 | 14.3 | 92.3 |
| Career | 26 | 109 | 1,471 | 12 | 13.5 | 56.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
52%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.214
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.187
BMI 24.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (175 lbs)+0.180
Top Negative Factors
+4.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.699
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.571
Physical production synergy-0.566