Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ben Skowronek
Ben Skowronek

Player breakdown

Ben Skowronek

Notre Dame · 2021 Draft Class

6-2220 lbs7th round, 249th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~29
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2021LAR141201113312.109.5
2022LAR141161393769.6026.9
2023LAR170128668.313.9
2024PIT101556913.806.9
2025PIT173646917.314.1
Career72161046771310.629.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016NorthwesternBig Ten1387008.85.4
2017NorthwesternBig Ten1345644514.349.5
2018NorthwesternBig Ten1445562312.540.1
2019NorthwesternBig Ten312141011.847
2020Notre DameACC1129439515.139.9
Career541391,8561313.434.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

47%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.181
Recruit dominator synergy+0.417
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.190

Top Negative Factors

-17.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.721
Improvement accelerating (+8.2) — getting better faster each year-0.599
Physical production synergy-0.531

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)