Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Bennie Brazell
Bennie Brazell

Player breakdown

Bennie Brazell

LSU · 2006 Draft Class

7th round, 231st overallAge: ~42
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

40%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2002LSUSEC832809.33.5
2004LSUSEC81200202.5
2005LSUSEC1313292322.522.5
Career2917340320.011.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

14%

ML model output

Context Prob

79%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.119
Recruit dominator synergy+0.495
3.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.258

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.755
Improvement accelerating (+9.4) — getting better faster each year-0.601
0.10 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.468

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)