Player breakdown
BJ Hawkins Jr.
UAB · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UAB | American | 5 | 2 | 32 | 1 | 16 | 6.4 |
| 2025 | UAB | American | 12 | 41 | 540 | 5 | 13.2 | 45 |
| Career | 17 | 43 | 572 | 6 | 13.3 | 33.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
46%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.346
6.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.278
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.192
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.735
Improvement accelerating (+15.9) — getting better faster each year-0.607
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.530