Player breakdown
Brady Boyd
Utah State · 2026 Draft Class
6-1185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
46%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 2 |
| 2022 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 12 | 13 | 125 | 1 | 9.6 | 10.4 |
| 2023 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 8.2 | 13.7 |
| 2024 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | Utah State | MWC | 13 | 46 | 743 | 8 | 16.2 | 57.2 |
| Career | 48 | 67 | 934 | 9 | 13.9 | 19.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
49%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.146
Class YPR rank: top 18% — elite per-target efficiency+0.255
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.244
Top Negative Factors
+5.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.713
Improvement accelerating (+40.3) — getting better faster each year-0.552
Physical production synergy-0.468