Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brandin Cooks
Brandin Cooks

Player breakdown

Brandin Cooks

Oregon St. · 2014 Draft Class

5-10189 lbs1st round, 20th overallAge at Draft: 20Age: ~32
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

89%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014NOR107695355010.4355
2015NOR1612129841,13813.5971.1
2016NOR1612117781,17315873.3
2017NWE1615114651,08216.6767.6
2018LAR1616117801,20415.1575.3
2019LAR1414724258313.9241.6
2020HOU1515119811,15014.2676.7
2021HOU1616134901,03711.5664.8
2022HOU1313935769912.3353.8
2023DAL1615815465712.2841.1
2024DAL109542625910325.9
20252TM155362427911.6018.6
2025NOR10325191658.7016.5
2025BUF5211511422.8022.8
Career188154117175810,09013.36053.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2011Oregon StatePac-121231391312.632.6
2012Oregon StatePac-1213671,151517.288.5
2013Oregon StatePac-12131281,7301613.5133.1
Career382263,2722414.586.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

97%

ML model output

Context Prob

75%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.256
Physical production synergy+0.558
+31.7 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.289

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+3.4) — getting better faster each year-0.247
Team averaged 48.0 pass attempts/game — pass-heavy spread offensive system-0.152
64.9 yards per adjusted target opportunity — dominant efficiency vs. opportunities-0.152

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)