Player breakdown
Michael Crabtree
Texas Tech · 2009 Draft Class
6-1215 lbs1st round, 10th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~38
EliteBiletnikoff x2All-American x21000+ NFL
Major awards: 4Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
89%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | SFO | 11 | 11 | 86 | 48 | 625 | 13 | 2 | 56.8 |
| 2010 | SFO | 16 | 15 | 101 | 55 | 741 | 13.5 | 6 | 46.3 |
| 2011 | SFO | 15 | 14 | 115 | 72 | 874 | 12.1 | 4 | 58.3 |
| 2012 | SFO | 16 | 16 | 127 | 85 | 1,105 | 13 | 9 | 69.1 |
| 2013 | SFO | 5 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 284 | 14.9 | 1 | 56.8 |
| 2014 | SFO | 16 | 16 | 108 | 68 | 698 | 10.3 | 4 | 43.6 |
| 2015 | OAK | 16 | 15 | 146 | 85 | 922 | 10.8 | 9 | 57.6 |
| 2016 | OAK | 16 | 16 | 145 | 89 | 1,003 | 11.3 | 8 | 62.7 |
| 2017 | OAK | 14 | 14 | 101 | 58 | 618 | 10.7 | 8 | 44.1 |
| 2018 | BAL | 16 | 16 | 100 | 54 | 607 | 11.2 | 3 | 37.9 |
| 2019 | ARI | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 0 | 11 |
| Career | 143 | 139 | 1067 | 637 | 7,499 | 11.8 | 54 | 52.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 13 | 134 | 1,962 | 22 | 14.6 | 150.9 |
| 2008 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 13 | 97 | 1,165 | 19 | 12 | 89.6 |
| Career | 26 | 231 | 3,127 | 41 | 13.5 | 120.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
96%
ML model output
Context Prob
75%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.946
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.590
Physical production synergy+0.322
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.188
Team averaged 58.7 pass attempts/game — pass-heavy spread offensive system-0.147
85.9 yards per adjusted target opportunity — dominant efficiency vs. opportunities-0.142