Player breakdown
Brandon LaFell
LSU · 2010 Draft Class
6-2211 lbs3rd round, 78th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
31%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | CAR | 14 | 2 | 77 | 38 | 468 | 12.3 | 1 | 33.4 |
| 2011 | CAR | 16 | 6 | 56 | 36 | 613 | 17 | 3 | 38.3 |
| 2012 | CAR | 14 | 12 | 76 | 44 | 677 | 15.4 | 4 | 48.4 |
| 2013 | CAR | 16 | 16 | 85 | 49 | 627 | 12.8 | 5 | 39.2 |
| 2014 | NWE | 16 | 13 | 119 | 74 | 953 | 12.9 | 7 | 59.6 |
| 2015 | NWE | 11 | 7 | 74 | 37 | 515 | 13.9 | 0 | 46.8 |
| 2016 | CIN | 16 | 14 | 107 | 64 | 862 | 13.5 | 6 | 53.9 |
| 2017 | CIN | 16 | 15 | 89 | 52 | 548 | 10.5 | 3 | 34.3 |
| 2018 | OAK | 6 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 135 | 11.3 | 2 | 22.5 |
| Career | 125 | 90 | 699 | 406 | 5,398 | 13.3 | 31 | 43.2 | |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
71%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.136
BMI 27.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (211 lbs)+0.244
Speed score 95.9 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.145
Top Negative Factors
-6.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.750
Physical production synergy-0.563
Improvement accelerating (+5.6) — getting better faster each year-0.369