Player breakdown
Brandon Marshall
Central Florida · 2006 Draft Class
6-4229 lbs4th round, 119th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
85%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | DEN | 15 | 1 | 37 | 20 | 309 | 15.5 | 2 | 20.6 |
| 2007 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 170 | 102 | 1,325 | 13 | 7 | 82.8 |
| 2008 | DEN | 15 | 15 | 181 | 104 | 1,265 | 12.2 | 6 | 84.3 |
| 2009 | DEN | 15 | 13 | 154 | 101 | 1,120 | 11.1 | 10 | 74.7 |
| 2010 | MIA | 14 | 14 | 146 | 86 | 1,014 | 11.8 | 3 | 72.4 |
| 2011 | MIA | 16 | 16 | 141 | 81 | 1,214 | 15 | 6 | 75.9 |
| 2012 | CHI | 16 | 16 | 192 | 118 | 1,508 | 12.8 | 11 | 94.3 |
| 2013 | CHI | 16 | 16 | 164 | 100 | 1,295 | 13 | 12 | 80.9 |
| 2014 | CHI | 13 | 13 | 106 | 61 | 721 | 11.8 | 8 | 55.5 |
| 2015 | NYJ | 16 | 16 | 173 | 109 | 1,502 | 13.8 | 14 | 93.9 |
| 2016 | NYJ | 15 | 15 | 128 | 59 | 788 | 13.4 | 3 | 52.5 |
| 2017 | NYG | 5 | 5 | 33 | 18 | 154 | 8.6 | 0 | 30.8 |
| 2018 | SEA | 7 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 136 | 12.4 | 1 | 19.4 |
| Career | 179 | 158 | 1648 | 970 | 12,351 | 12.7 | 83 | 69.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 11 | 11 | 175 | 1 | 15.9 | 15.9 |
| 2001 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 11 | 20 | 411 | 4 | 20.6 | 37.4 |
| 2002 | UCF | MAC | 9 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 2 |
| 2003 | UCF | MAC | 12 | 28 | 377 | 2 | 13.5 | 31.4 |
| 2004 | UCF | MAC | 10 | 8 | 84 | 0 | 10.5 | 8.4 |
| 2005 | UCF | CUSA | 13 | 74 | 1,195 | 11 | 16.1 | 91.9 |
| Career | 66 | 143 | 2,260 | 18 | 15.8 | 34.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
91%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.097
Recruit dominator synergy+0.522
2.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.290
Top Negative Factors
-18.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.751
Physical production synergy-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+5.8) — getting better faster each year-0.363