Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brandon Tate
Brandon Tate

Player breakdown

Brandon Tate

North Carolina · 2009 Draft Class

6-0183 lbs3rd round, 83rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

24%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2009NWE21200000
2010NWE1610462443218327
2012CIN163251321116.2113.2
2013CIN160216600.4
2014CIN164261719311.4112.1
2015CIN160325929.513.7
2016BUF15112811714.607.8
2017BUF1311468113.516.2
Career11020130711,09915.5710.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006North CarolinaACC12572014.46
2007North CarolinaACC1225479519.239.9
2008North CarolinaACC616376323.562.7
Career3046927820.230.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

57%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.420
6.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.250
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.223

Top Negative Factors

-21.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.790
Physical production synergy-0.511
Improvement accelerating (+5.7) — getting better faster each year-0.464

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)