Player breakdown
Josh Morgan
Virginia Tech · 2008 Draft Class
6-0219 lbs6th round, 174th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | SFO | 12 | 1 | 43 | 20 | 319 | 16 | 3 | 26.6 |
| 2009 | SFO | 16 | 15 | 80 | 52 | 527 | 10.1 | 3 | 32.9 |
| 2010 | SFO | 16 | 11 | 80 | 44 | 698 | 15.9 | 2 | 43.6 |
| 2011 | SFO | 5 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 220 | 14.7 | 1 | 44 |
| 2012 | WAS | 16 | 15 | 73 | 48 | 510 | 10.6 | 2 | 31.9 |
| 2013 | WAS | 14 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 214 | 10.7 | 0 | 15.3 |
| 2014 | CHI | 14 | 7 | 19 | 10 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| Career | 93 | 61 | 349 | 209 | 2,558 | 12.2 | 12 | 27.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 12 | 15 | 346 | 3 | 23.1 | 28.8 |
| 2005 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 13 | 28 | 471 | 4 | 16.8 | 36.2 |
| 2006 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 12 | 33 | 448 | 4 | 13.6 | 37.3 |
| 2007 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 14 | 46 | 552 | 5 | 12 | 39.4 |
| Career | 51 | 122 | 1,817 | 16 | 14.9 | 35.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.444
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.95x — route-running independent of system+0.173
BMI 29.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (219 lbs)+0.154
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.205
-21.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.583
Physical production synergy-0.398