Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brandon Williams
Brandon Williams

Player breakdown

Brandon Williams

Wisconsin · 2006 Draft Class

5-9179 lbs3rd round, 84th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

68%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2007STL70100000
2017IND141017131219.308.6
Career211018131219.305.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2002WisconsinBig Ten1452663312.847.4
2003WisconsinBig Ten1349649113.249.9
2004WisconsinBig Ten1242517012.343.1
2005WisconsinBig Ten13591,095618.684.2
2007AkronMAC12117807.16.5
2008AkronMAC6457014.39.5
2010OregonPac-10112480244.4
2013Texas A&MSEC951713.41.9
2014Texas A&MSEC1396507.25
2015Texas A&MSEC1313030.2
Career1162343,1921113.627.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

72%

ML model output

Context Prob

50%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.300
Recruit dominator synergy+0.485
Physical production synergy+0.354

Top Negative Factors

+4.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.731
0.19 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.437
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.201

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)