Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Braxton Miller
Braxton Miller

Player breakdown

Braxton Miller

Ohio St. · 2016 Draft Class

6-1201 lbs3rd round, 85th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

50%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016HOU1062815996.619.9
2017HOU11329191628.5114.7
Career21957342617.7212.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2015Ohio StateBig Ten1326341313.126.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

51%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.164
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.692
Recruit dominator synergy+0.547

Top Negative Factors

-29.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.748
0.23 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.452
Accounted for 1.05 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.410

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)