
Player breakdown
Braxton Miller
Ohio St. · 2016 Draft Class
6-1201 lbs3rd round, 85th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
50%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | HOU | 10 | 6 | 28 | 15 | 99 | 6.6 | 1 | 9.9 |
| 2017 | HOU | 11 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 162 | 8.5 | 1 | 14.7 |
| Career | 21 | 9 | 57 | 34 | 261 | 7.7 | 2 | 12.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13 | 26 | 341 | 3 | 13.1 | 26.2 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
51%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.164
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.692
Recruit dominator synergy+0.547
Top Negative Factors
-29.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.748
0.23 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.452
Accounted for 1.05 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.410