Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Braylon Edwards
Braylon Edwards

Player breakdown

Braylon Edwards

Michigan · 2005 Draft Class

6-3211 lbs1st round, 3rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

89%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2005CLE107603251216351.2
2006CLE16151256188414.5655.3
2007CLE1616154801,28916.11680.6
2008CLE16161385587315.9354.6
20092TM1615954568015.1442.5
2009CLE44231013913.9034.8
2009NYJ1211723554115.5445.1
2010NYJ16151015390417.1756.5
2011SFO95341518112.1020.1
20122TM134351819911.1115.3
2012SEA101178749.317.4
2012NYJ33181012512.5041.7
Career1411128724226,40115.24545.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001MichiganBig Ten6338012.76.3
2002MichiganBig Ten13671,0351015.479.6
2003MichiganBig Ten13851,1381413.487.5
2004MichiganBig Ten12971,3301513.7110.8
Career442523,5413914.180.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

96%

ML model output

Context Prob

82%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.148
Physical production synergy+0.487
BMI 26.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (211 lbs)+0.250

Top Negative Factors

Scout dominator depth synergy-0.397
Improvement accelerating (+34.0) — getting better faster each year-0.333
Recruit dominator synergy-0.218

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)