Player breakdown
Braylon Staley
Tennessee · 2026 Draft Class
6-0190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tennessee | SEC | 4 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 5.3 |
| 2025 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 68 | 837 | 6 | 12.3 | 64.4 |
| Career | 17 | 71 | 858 | 6 | 12.1 | 50.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
68%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
5.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.265
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.95 — elite recruit at elite school+0.213
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.193
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.326
-3.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.528
Improvement accelerating (+38.9) — getting better faster each year-0.517